\n
VPOC<\/strong>: 6773.50
VVA<\/strong>: 6768 – 6794.25
High-Low<\/strong>: 6715.75 – 6808.50
PP<\/strong>: 6765
Open<\/strong>: 6768.25 (Zone 1)
VIX<\/strong>: 23.43<\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
SP500 trend<\/strong>: Overall sentiment neutral \ud83d\udfe0 to bullish \ud83d\udfe2<\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Yesterday, the S&P 500 had a volatile morning, opening in the 6750\u20136755 resistance zone. Sellers took control and pushed price down to the 6722\u20136733 resistance area. Buyers defended the zone and took over, holding control until the US open. Buyers then pushed price sharply up to the prior day\u2019s high at 6787.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
At the US open, buyers tried to extend the move higher but were stopped by sellers at the 6798\u20136808 resistance level. Price then moved lower and settled on the 6771\u20136777 support zone, just above the prior day\u2019s value area, and stayed there until the close. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
On the 1-hour chart, price moved back above the 200 moving average, which is a positive sign for a sustained bullish recovery. In addition, during the rally, the S&P 500 created a single print between 6754 and 6764, which will serve as solid support just below the VVAL-1. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Since the start of the week, Cash sessions have been relatively calm compared with the pre-market and have not offered many opportunities, but that could change today with the PPI, crude oil inventories, and the FOMC statement.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Today, the US index opens in Zone 1 at 6768.25, just above the prior day\u2019s VVAL. Sellers attempted to break out of the value area but were stopped by buyers, who took control just above the single print and pushed price into the 6798\u20136808 resistance zone, where it currently appears to be stabilizing. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
In options, we can see a large put zone around 6500, which may indicate that investors are hedging against a sharp drop in price.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Today we will have the PPI data at 1:30 PM, crude oil inventories at 3:30 PM, and, most importantly, the FED interest rate decision at 7:00 PM, followed by Powell\u2019s speech at 7:30 PM, which will have a crucial impact on the markets.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Scenario 1 \ud83d\udfe1: On a rejection from the 6798-6808<\/strong> resistance zone and yesterday\u2019s high at 6808.50<\/strong>, price could consolidate between that resistance and the bottom of the value area at 6768<\/strong>. This scenario may remain valid until this afternoon\u2019s announcements. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Scenario 2 \ud83d\udfe2: On a breakout above the 6798-6808<\/strong> resistance zone, price could move toward the 6856-6866<\/strong> resistance zone.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Scenario 3 \ud83d\udd34: On a break below the VVAL-1 and a fill of the single print at 6754-6764<\/strong>, price could target the 6722-6733<\/strong> support zone, then yesterday\u2019s low at 6715<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Zones of Interest:<\/span><\/h2>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n- 6856-6866 (Resistance zone)<\/li>\n
- 6798-6808<\/strong> <\/span>(Resistance zone + prior day\u2019s high 6808.50)<\/li>\n
- 6771-6777 (Support Zone)<\/li>\n
- 6754-6764 (Single Print)<\/li>\n
- 6750-6754 (Support zone)<\/li>\n
- 6722-6733<\/strong> <\/span>(Support zone)<\/li>\n
- 6715.75 (Prior day\u2019s low)<\/li>\n
- 6703-6706 (Support zone)<\/li>\n
- 6673-6677 (Support zone)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-18GRAPH30MN.png” alt=”S&P 500 Analysis March 18, 2026 30-min Chart” title_text=”2026-03-18GRAPH30MN” url=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-18GRAPH30MN.png” url_new_window=”on” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-18MARKETPROFILE.png” alt=”S&P 500 Analysis March 18, 2026 Market Profile” title_text=”2026-03-18MARKETPROFILE” url=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-18MARKETPROFILE.png” url_new_window=”on” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-18OPTIONS.png” alt=”S&P 500 Analysis March 18, 2026 Options” title_text=”2026-03-18OPTIONS” url=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-18OPTIONS.png” url_new_window=”on” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_divider color=”#E6C068″ _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n
60-second Chrono<\/span><\/h2>\n[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/60secondeschrono-Petite.jpg” alt=”Financial Chrono” title_text=”60secondeschrono” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n
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Market Situation & Tech Sector<\/span><\/h2>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n- Positive close:<\/strong> <\/span>US indices finished higher for the second consecutive session. The S&P 500 gained 0.25%, while the Russell 2000 led the way with a 0.67% advance, signaling a stronger risk appetite. <\/li>\n
- Amazon\u2019s AI rebound:<\/strong> <\/span>Amazon shares rebounded 1.66% ($215.25) following comments from CEO Andy Jassy. He expects AI could propel AWS revenue to $600 billion by 2036. Technically, the stock is back above its 100- and 200-hour moving averages, giving buyers the upper hand in the short term. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Today\u2019s catalyst: the FED (7:00 PM)<\/span><\/h2>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n- Status quo expected:<\/strong> <\/span>Rates are expected to be kept between 3.50% and 3.75%.<\/li>\n
- The real risk (Powell at 7:30 PM):<\/strong> <\/span>The market fears the specter of stagflation. Powell is expected to adopt a very cautious stance in the face of a resilient economy and inflation reignited by energy prices. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Oil and geopolitics<\/span><\/h2>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n- Energy under pressure:<\/strong> <\/span>Oil remains very elevated (WTI around $94.69). The geopolitical risk premium is being sustained by strikes near nuclear infrastructure (Bushehr) in Iran. <\/li>\n
- Modest relief:<\/strong> <\/span>An Iraq\/Kurdistan agreement allows some oil exports to resume by bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, avoiding\u2014for now\u2014an acceleration in prices toward $100 on WTI.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Macroeconomics and fundamentals<\/span><\/h2>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n- US resilience:<\/strong> <\/span>The US economy is not cracking. Home sales surprised to the upside (+1.8%), giving the Fed arguments not to cut rates. <\/li>\n
- Tech & Risk:<\/strong> <\/span>The market closed in the green yesterday, supported by small caps and a rebound in Tech (Amazon boosted by AI).<\/li>\n
- Global pressure:<\/strong> <\/span>Inflation is hitting everywhere. Australia surprised overnight by raising rates to 4.10%, and Japan is preparing to tighten its monetary policy. <\/li>\n
- Upcoming economic data:<\/strong> <\/span>We are awaiting data on the PPI (producer prices) and factory orders, with forecasts pointing to a moderate rise in prices.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
Forex (EUR\/USD)<\/span><\/h2>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
The euro\u2019s rebound is facing the key technical test: price is testing the 200-hour moving average at 1.15499<\/strong>. A breakout would confirm a genuine buying recovery against the dollar. <\/span><\/p>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider color=”#E6C068″ _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n
Macro<\/span><\/h2>\n[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Macro.jpg” alt=”Macroeconomic Illustration” title_text=”Macro” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n
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Real estate: A spectacular rebound as the US market defies forecasts Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Feb.):<\/span><\/h2>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n- Actual:<\/strong> <\/span>1.8%<\/strong><\/li>\n
- Forecast:<\/strong> <\/span>-0.6%<\/li>\n
- Previous:<\/strong> <\/span>-1.0%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n