[et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” background_color=”#000000″ global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n
[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_video src=”https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=9NHBs82utSA” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” theme_builder_area=”post_content” src_webm=”https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=9NHBs82utSA” hover_enabled=”0″ sticky_enabled=”0″][\/et_pb_video][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n
<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n VPOC<\/strong>: 6884 <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n SP 500 Trend<\/strong>: Overall sentiment neutral \ud83d\udfe0 to bearish \ud83d\udd34<\/span><\/p>\n \n On Friday, the S 500 spent the morning around the 6883-6900 resistance zone with a slight bullish trend until 10:00 AM. From 10:20 AM, sellers took control and pushed the price below the 6883-6900 support zone. Following the inflation data announcement, sellers provided a new bearish impulse, sending the index below the 6857-6866 support zone. Below this level, buyers were present and defended the level throughout the day. <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n \n At the US open, both parties found common ground, with the price consolidating between the 6857-6866 support zone and the 6883-6900 resistance zone. The price then closed at 6883. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n This morning, the US index opened with a bearish gap in Zone 3 at 6820 amid a complicated context of war between the United States and Iran. WTI crude oil rose nearly 6%, and Treasury bonds as well as gold increased. The price opened just above the 6815-6830 support zone and even attempted to break through it, but buyers defended the zone, pushing the price back up to the 6857-6866 resistance zone. Both parties seem to have agreed on a price for the time being during the Asian session. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n With this bearish gap, the bullish divergence on the 1h chart is invalidated, which could confirm a continuation of the decline. Furthermore, the RSI is in the selling zone across all timeframes. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n Volumes are already very high this morning, at nearly three times the usual volume. You will need to be mindful of volatility today, as even the slightest news could ignite the markets. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n On the options table, we observe a large call zone at 6900 and put zones at 6800 and 6750. The market could navigate between these boundaries today. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n It will also be necessary to keep an eye on WTI, as oil is negatively correlated with the SP. You should not go long if oil continues to rise. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n Today, we will have the Manufacturing PMI and ISM PMI data.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n Scenario 1 \ud83d\udfe1: Upon rejection of the 6815-6830<\/strong> support zone, the price could consolidate above this support and within the 6857-6866<\/strong> resistance zone.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n Scenario 2 \ud83d\udd34: Upon a break of the 6815-6830<\/strong> support zone, the price could target 6800<\/strong> and then the 6771-6777<\/strong> support zone.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n Scenario 3 \ud83d\udfe2: Upon a break of the 6857-6866<\/strong> resistance zone, the price could fill this morning’s bearish GAP between 6857<\/strong> and 6873<\/strong> and target the 6883-6900<\/strong> resistance zone, which will be difficult to cross given Friday’s VPOC and VVAH. If successful, it could target the 6920-6930<\/strong> resistance zone. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n [\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-02graph1h.png” alt=”1h Chart Analysis” title_text=”2026-03-02-1h-chart” url=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-02graph1h.png” url_new_window=”on” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-02marketprofile.png” alt=”Market Profile Analysis” title_text=”2026-03-02-market-profile” url=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-02marketprofile.png” url_new_window=”on” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-02options.png” title_text=”2026-03-02-options” url=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2026-03-02options.png” url_new_window=”on” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_divider color=”#E6C068″ _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n [\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/60secondeschrono-Petite.jpg” alt=”Financial Chrono” title_text=”60secondeschrono” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n Wall Street experienced a decline, particularly in the technology and financial sectors, due to concerns regarding costs and disruptions related to artificial intelligence (AI). The SP 500 fell 0.43%, the Dow Jones 1.05%, and the Nasdaq 0.92%. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n Gold prices rose, supported by lower Treasury bond yields, while the dollar decreased. Oil also saw an increase due to geopolitical tensions and supply risks, notably between the United States and Iran. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) forecasts a decline in the Manufacturing PMI for February to 51.8, down from 52.6 the previous month. Non-farm payroll forecasts indicate the creation of 60,000 jobs in February, marking a slowdown from the 130,000 jobs created in January. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n Several companies, including Costco and Target, are scheduled to release their financial results this week. Investors will take a particular interest in the impact of tariff uncertainties on consumer sentiment, supply chain management, and annual forecasts. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n Concerns regarding AI-related disruptions continue to weigh on the market and keep investors on edge. Estimates suggest that AI has already been responsible for significant job losses in the most exposed sectors during 2025. <\/span><\/p>\n [\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider color=”#E6C068″ _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n [\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Informformation.jpg” title_text=”Information” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”||37px|||” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Military strikes against Iran, initially planned for the previous week, were delayed. Iran is now retaliating by attacking US targets, which exacerbates tensions and spreads the conflict to other regions. This climate of uncertainty is fueling nervousness in the financial markets. <\/span><\/p>\n \n <\/p>\n Crude prices saw a sharp rise, with WTI exceeding $75 before stabilizing around $71. This volatility reflects the initial panic of traders facing major geopolitical risk. <\/span><\/p>\n \n <\/p>\n The Strait of Hormuz is the critical chokepoint for oil transit (20% of global supply). Although it is not completely closed, the fear of Iranian attacks is forcing ships to reroute, creating a logistical bottleneck and a reduction in available supply. <\/span><\/p>\n \n <\/p>\n Despite the escalation, the market faces a structural surplus. Forecasts indicate that this abundant supply could keep prices around $60 in the longer term once the war risk premium evaporates. <\/span><\/p>\n \n <\/p>\n In a strategic move, OPEC+ has decided to increase production. This decision appears to be a direct response to US-Iranian tensions, aimed at stabilizing prices and offsetting potential cuts from Iran. <\/span><\/p>\n \n <\/p>\n Shale producers in the United States could take advantage of rising prices to intensify production. However, their ability to react quickly remains limited in the face of the massive impact that a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz would represent. <\/span><\/p>\n \n <\/p>\n The market is currently benefiting from an “emotional shock.” Once the situation stabilizes or is “priced in,” traders will refocus on the excess supply. This could create selling opportunities for oil if the tension does not escalate into total war. <\/span><\/p>\n [\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider color=”#E6C068″ _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n [\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Macro.jpg” alt=”Macroeconomic Illustration” title_text=”Macro” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.27.6″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”post_content”]<\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n Overall and “Core” Producer Price Index (PPI) (January):<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n -> This is a powerful warning signal regarding inflation. Prices charged by producers at the factory gate are rising much faster than expected. The “Core” figure is particularly high at 0.8%. This proves that inflation is stubborn at the source, which will mechanically end up being passed on to consumers in the coming months. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n Chicago PMI (Feb.) Construction Spending (Dec.):<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n -> These figures confirm that the US economy is extremely robust. The Chicago PMI jumped well above the 50 mark, indicating a strong acceleration in business activity. Construction spending is also rising again. The economy refuses to slow down. <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n\n
Earnings Reports:<\/span><\/h2>\n
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Analysis:<\/span><\/h2>\n
VVA<\/strong>: 6859.25-6885.25
High-Low<\/strong>: 6841.50-6915.50
PP<\/strong>: 6830
Open<\/strong>: 6820 (Zone 3)
Vix<\/strong>: 19.85<\/span><\/p>\nZones of Interest:<\/span><\/h2>\n
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60-second Chrono<\/span><\/h2>\n
Market Performance<\/span><\/h2>\n
Commodity Markets<\/span><\/h2>\n
Upcoming Economic Data<\/span><\/h2>\n
Company Earnings<\/span><\/h2>\n
Artificial Intelligence Trends<\/span><\/h2>\n
The Middle East This Morning<\/span><\/h2>\n
Conflict Escalation: Strikes and Retaliation<\/span><\/h2>\n
Impact on the Oil Market: WTI Volatility<\/span><\/h2>\n
Supply Disruption: The Strait of Hormuz Factor<\/span><\/h2>\n
Supply Glut: Structural Supply Remains Strong<\/span><\/h2>\n
OPEC+ Reactions: Production Increase<\/span><\/h2>\n
US Shale Production: The Role of the USA<\/span><\/h2>\n
Conclusion: Between Initial Shock and Market Realities<\/span><\/h2>\n
Macro<\/span><\/h2>\n
Inflation and US Activity: An Overheating Economy<\/span><\/h2>\n
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Summary<\/span><\/h3>\n