{"id":2475,"date":"2026-02-16T07:20:35","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T06:20:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/trading-plan-for-february-16-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-02-16T09:59:21","modified_gmt":"2026-02-16T08:59:21","slug":"trading-plan-for-february-16-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/trading-plan-for-february-16-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Plan for February 16, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color=&#8221;#000000&#8243; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h1 class=\"default-heading1\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><span>President&#8217;s Day:  <\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 class=\"default-heading1\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><span>Investors on holiday?<\/span><\/h1>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_video src=&#8221;https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ou68MajObfo&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221; src_webm=&#8221;https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ou68MajObfo&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;][\/et_pb_video][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<\/p>\n<div id=\"isPasted\">\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Economic Announcements:<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li data-line=\"0\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>US public holiday<\/strong><span> <\/span>: President&#8217;s Day<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Earnings Reports:<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>No update<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Analysis:<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span><strong>VPOC<\/strong> : 6847.25<br \/><strong>VVA<\/strong> : 6833 &#8211; 6872<br \/><strong>PP<\/strong>: 6860<br \/><strong>Open<\/strong>: 6852.50 (Zone 1)<br \/><strong>VIX<\/strong>: 20.59<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span><strong>SP500 Trend<\/strong>: Overall neutral sentiment \ud83d\udfe0<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>On Friday, the S&amp;P 500 opened between the 6815-6830 support zone and the 6857-6866 resistance zone. The market was waiting for the US inflation data at 2:30 PM. When the data was released, price reacted only slightly, despite a push from buyers that was rejected at the 6857-6866 resistance zone.  <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>At the US open, buyers took control and managed to break above the 6857-6866 zone, but failed to push through 6900, which was still well defended by sellers. After two attempts and the formation of a double top at 6900 that held, sellers regained control and brought price back into the morning range, with the S&amp;P 500 closing around 6850. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>The strong inflation figures were not enough to drive a sustained rebound, as conflicting data on US consumer spending and housing, along with fears around the tech and AI sectors, cooled the markets.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span style=\"color: #e6c068;\"><strong>Today is a US public holiday for President&#8217;s Day. The market is likely to lack volume and could be tricky. Caution is required\u2014or simply do not trade\u2014especially as the VIX (fear index) remains elevated at 20.59.  <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>This morning, the S&amp;P 500 is opening in Zone 1 (within Friday\u2019s value area) at 6852 and is currently working the 6857-6866 area. Price tested the VVAH-1 but was rejected without any real breakout attempt. Price is stable for now and should remain so this morning as long as it stays within VVA-1 between 6833 and 6872.  <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>The options market is showing Put zones at 6800, as well as 6750 and 6700, with investors hedging against a potential further decline. Calls are also present at 6850, 6900, and 7000. This highlights market indecision, with delta also fairly neutral this morning.  <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>Scenario 1 \ud83d\udfe1: On a rejection at the <strong>6883-6900<\/strong> resistance zone, price could spend the day ranging between <strong>6900<\/strong> and the <strong>6815-6830<\/strong> support.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>Scenario 2 \ud83d\udd34: On a break below the <strong>6815-6830<\/strong> zone, price could break Friday\u2019s low at <strong>6808<\/strong> and move toward the <strong>6771-6777<\/strong> support zone.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>Scenario 3 \ud83d\udfe2: On a break above <strong>6900<\/strong> and confirmation above <strong>6910<\/strong>, price could quickly fill the single prints at <strong>6900-6925<\/strong>, and possibly the one at <strong>6928-6953<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Zones of Interest:<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li data-line=\"0\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>7030-7043<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Major resistance zone + ATH 7043)<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"1\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>6993-7000<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Resistance zone + major 7000 Call option zone)<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"2\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>6956-6963<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Resistance zone)<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"3\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>6900-6925<\/strong><span> <\/span>and <strong>6928-6953<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Single prints)<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"4\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>6883-6900<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Major resistance zone + Friday\u2019s high 6897.75)<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"5\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>6815-6830<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Support zone)<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"6\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>6808.75<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Friday\u2019s low)<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"7\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>6,770-6,777<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Support Zone)<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"8\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>6750<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Major Put options interest)<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"9\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>6715-6720<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Support zone)<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"10\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>6700<\/strong><span> <\/span>(Major Put options interest)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/2026-02-16graph30mn.png&#8221; title_text=&#8221;2026-02-16graph30mn&#8221; url=&#8221;https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/2026-02-16graph30mn.png&#8221; url_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/2026-02-16marketprofile.png&#8221; title_text=&#8221;2026-02-16marketprofile&#8221; url=&#8221;https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/2026-02-16marketprofile.png&#8221; url_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/2026-02-16options.png&#8221; title_text=&#8221;2026-02-16options&#8221; url=&#8221;https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/2026-02-16options.png&#8221; url_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;#E6C068&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading1\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><span>60-second Chrono<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/60secondeschrono-Petite.jpg&#8221; alt=&#8221;60secChrono&#8221; title_text=&#8221;60secondeschrono&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<\/p>\n<div id=\"isPasted\">\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Market performance<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones indices posted gains, supported by inflation data that came in below expectations, reinforcing expectations of an interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Treasury yields fell, and the dollar showed little change. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Commodities<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>Gold prices rose, while oil prices declined. This move is being driven by expectations around interest rates and inflation. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Economic expectations<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>Investors are awaiting Walmart\u2019s earnings, with forecasts pointing to above-consensus profit for the fourth quarter. Data on inflation and economic growth are also expected, including the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\">\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Upcoming Events<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>The New York Fed is set to publish a manufacturing survey, and several Fed officials will speak on various economic topics, including artificial intelligence and its impact on the labor market.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Moderna and Applied Materials<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>Moderna is looking to expand internationally after an FDA rejection for its flu vaccine, while Applied Materials expects solid results driven by rising AI-related demand.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Easing of sanctions<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>The United States has eased sanctions against Venezuela, allowing oil companies to engage in production projects.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Technology and patents<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>Apple and Google lost an appeal regarding a patent review, which could have implications for the technology industry.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Ukraine &#8211; Russia<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>A Russian Black Sea port was targeted by a drone strike ahead of peace talks. Ukraine\u2019s General Staff confirmed the attack on the port of Taman in a statement on Telegram, without providing details on the extent of the damage. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Warner Bros<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>Warner Bros Discovery Inc. is considering reopening sale talks with Paramount Skydance Corp after receiving its new revised offer, which could trigger a second bidding war with Netflix Inc. Paramount submitted revised terms addressing several concerns, including covering compensation owed to Netflix (estimated at $2.8 billion) and committing to secure a refinancing of Warner Bros\u2019 debt. <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;#E6C068&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading1\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><span>Macro<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Macro.jpg&#8221; alt=&#8221;Macro&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Macro&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.5&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<\/p>\n<div id=\"isPasted\">\n<h2 class=\"default-heading1\"><span>Inflation (CPI): Disinflation is confirmed<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Headline CPI (overall inflation): A positive surprise<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li data-line=\"0\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>Actual: 0.2% (Monthly) \/ 2.4% (Year-over-year)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li data-line=\"1\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>Forecast: 0.3% (Monthly) \/ 2.5% (Year-over-year)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li data-line=\"2\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>Previous: 0.3% (Monthly) \/ 2.7% (Year-over-year)<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span><strong> <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span><strong>-&gt;<\/strong> This is excellent news for the economy. The figures show up in &#8220;red&#8221; on the calendar because they are below expectations, but in economics, lower-than-expected inflation is positive for consumers. Year-over-year inflation falls to 2.4%, getting very close to the Fed\u2019s ultimate 2% target. This suggests that price increases are slowing faster than analysts expected. This is generally bearish for the US dollar (USD) but bullish for equity indices (S&amp;P500, Nasdaq).    <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"default-heading2\"><span>Core CPI (underlying inflation): Resistance persists<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li data-line=\"0\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>Actual: 0.3% (Monthly) \/ 2.5% (Year-over-year)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li data-line=\"1\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>Forecast: 0.3% (Monthly) \/ 2.5% (Year-over-year)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li data-line=\"2\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>Previous: 0.2% (Monthly) \/ 2.6% (Year-over-year)<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span><strong> <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span><strong>-&gt;<\/strong> Core CPI (which excludes energy and food, considered too volatile) is perfectly in line with expectations. While the year-over-year figure ticks down slightly, the monthly figure edges up. This shows the Fed that the fight is not completely over: the &#8220;core&#8221; of inflation remains somewhat sticky. This tempers the enthusiasm from the headline number.   <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h3 class=\"default-heading3\"><span>Summary<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"default\"><span>An overall reassuring release that supports the soft-landing scenario.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"default\"><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li data-line=\"0\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>Headline inflation declines:<\/strong><span> <\/span>The drop to 2.4% is a strong signal that prices are cooling.<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"1\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>The Fed can breathe:<\/strong><span> <\/span>These figures do not justify raising rates, and they open the door to future rate cuts if the trend continues.<\/li>\n<li data-line=\"2\" dir=\"auto\"><strong>Trading impact:<\/strong><span> <\/span>In theory, this weakens the US dollar because rates will remain stable or decline, and it supports risk assets as monetary pressure eases.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>President&#8217;s Day: Investors on holiday? Economic Announcements: US public holiday : President&#8217;s Day Earnings Reports: No update Analysis: VPOC : 6847.25VVA : 6833 &#8211; 6872PP: 6860Open: 6852.50 (Zone 1)VIX: 20.59 SP500 Trend: Overall neutral sentiment \ud83d\udfe0 On Friday, the S&amp;P 500 opened between the 6815-6830 support zone and the 6857-6866 resistance zone. The market was [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2471,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[52],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2475","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-points"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2475","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2475"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2475\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2480,"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2475\/revisions\/2480"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2471"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2475"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2475"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lheurefinance.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2475"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}